Skip to main content

Will Trump Be reelected?

President Trump has been on a losing side since the fears of COVID19 has paralysed the economy. Since he was elected in 2015 to the White House,he has made sure he maximises his focus on  himself. After the Lafayette square incidence which offended Christians where the President used the Bible  around as a prop, Rather than being in command Mr. Trump seemed desperate. When power is based on appearances it can slip away easily.

Before COVID hit America, Mr Trump looked likelier than not to be reelected, thanks to a relentlessly growing economy. Incumbent presidents almost always win in such circumstances. Our election model made him a narrow favourite, even though he was a few points down in national polls with his rival, Joe Biden. However, the president is now in a deep hole.

Mr. Biden is now up by 9 points, He is already doing well in battleground states like FLorida, Michigan and Wisconsin, and he has strong support among older voters and is doing surprisingly well among white voters who did not go to college. Our model now gives MR. TRump only a roughly 10 % chance of winning. The virus has deomstrated something definitively to a large number of persuadable voters: that Mr. Trump is just not that good at being a President

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

World Economic Forum Davos 2024

  Honoured to be a part of the Mega Event World Economic Forum,Davos 2024 which brings together the aspirations of the entire human race.In order to bring back home to our Country Bharat  🇮🇳 the best Resources in terms of Technology, trade, finances and human resources, the noteworthy achievements are the innumerable MOUs signed between leaders to create jobs, better health, sanitation,education,financial and trade relations and opportunities along with bringing about sustainable development to various regions. Davos  🇨🇭  hosts the World Economic Forum due to its historical significance  🏔️ , political neutrality  🕊️ , and modern infrastructure  🏢 . The scenic Swiss Alps setting  🏞️  and strong security measures  🔒 enhance its appeal as a location for this prestigious global event  🌐 . Historically, Davos has served as a global platform for leaders to address pressing issues  🌐  and foster private-public partner...
Post a Comment
Read more

Friendships and Women Empowerment

  Women friendships play a vital role in fostering empowerment and personal growth. These relationships offer support, understanding, and a safe space for women to share their experiences, challenges, and triumphs. Bonds between women often transcend societal norms and stereotypes, enabling them to uplift each other in a unique way. Friendships among women contribute to empowerment by creating networks that facilitate mentorship, skill-sharing, and the exchange of ideas. These connections can lead to opportunities for education, career advancement, and personal development. Women often face similar struggles in various aspects of life, and by coming together, they can tackle these challenges collectively, fostering a sense of solidarity and strength. Moreover, women friendships challenge traditional notions of competition and rivalry, fostering collaboration instead. When women support and empower each other, they break down barriers and pave the way for progress. By celebrating ea...
Post a Comment
Read more

Globalisation - A Paradigm Shift

 The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting held at Davos has been the largest and most talked about more so as it is going to put an end to the thought process of a few countries who were of the view of the  end of globalisation. Leaders around the world recognise that the future workspace is going to be a hybrid - virtual and face to face.Lack of cooperation is immense in society. We need cooperation even more today as after the Russia Ukraine war and the Covid restrictions still not completely lifted in some parts of the world, the world needs a lot of healing, which is more so prevalent due to the self seeking policy making in society. The World Economic Forum in Davos seems to take this challenge heads on and put an end to this vicious cycle.Even today 1 percent hold 45 percent of the wealth. The system works for a few billionaires . This economic down turn is likely to trickle down in economies. The complexity of solutions interdependence and connectivity of all...
1 comment
Read more